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Pre-market report for 15 October 2026: Kospi falls 7.1%, US inflation at 3.7%

6 min readBy NineFifteenAM

GIFT Nifty was 22,616.5 at 8:05 AM, 30.5 points below Wednesday's 3:30 PM level, after US inflation hit 3.7% and the Kospi fell 7.1% in early trade.

Thursday, 15 October 2026. GIFT Nifty was 22,616.5 at 8:05 AM IST, 30.5 points (0.13%) below its 3:30 PM level of 22,647 on Wednesday, after US consumer inflation came in at 3.7% for September and the Nasdaq fell 1.88%. The selling was far heavier in Seoul this morning, where the Kospi fell 7.1% in early trade. Wednesday's 99.25-point fall in the Nifty is covered in the post-market report for 14 October.

GIFT Nifty did most of its falling on Wednesday evening, touching 22,524.5 in the 7:45 PM quarter-hour, and it reopened at 22,525 at 6:30 this morning before climbing as high as 22,642. At 8:05 AM it was 6.2 points below the Nifty's Wednesday close of 22,622.70. It is a futures contract and does not track the index point for point. (How far GIFT Nifty can be relied on.)

Seoul's chipmakers lead a 7.1% fall in the Kospi

The Kospi dropped 7.1% to 5,584.83 in early trade, AP reported; KED Global gives Wednesday's close as 6,008.81. Samsung Electronics fell 8.2% and SK Hynix 10.8%. The Herald Business reported that the Korea Exchange triggered a sell-side sidecar, a pause on program selling, for the first time in about two months after KOSPI 200 futures fell sharply. KED Global put the fall down to two things: the US inflation figure, which revived bets on a Federal Reserve rate rise, and growing strain around the financing of AI spending.

Tokyo was also sharply lower. AP had the Nikkei 225 down 3.9% at 65,119.51, with SoftBank Group down 9.1% and Tokyo Electron 6.3%; by about 8:15 AM IST Trading Economics showed it at 64,458, down 4.85%, with Advantest down 12.58%.

I found conflicting figures for Shanghai and none I could check for Hong Kong, so I have left both out.

US inflation reaches 3.7% and the Nasdaq loses 511.51 points

US consumer prices rose 3.7% in the year to September, up from 3.4% in August, and 0.6% in the month, according to Xinhua's report of the Labor Department data. Trading Economics said economists had expected 3.6% and that it was the highest rate in four months.

Index Close on Wednesday Change
Dow Jones 51,621.48 −48.62 pts (−0.09%)
S&P 500 7,718.94 −86.51 pts (−1.11%)
Nasdaq Composite 26,692.87 −511.51 pts (−1.88%)

Technology was the weakest S&P sector at −2.62%, while health care gained 2.44% and consumer staples 2.38%, Xinhua reported. Trading Economics listed Nvidia down 3.22%, Alphabet 2.96%, Broadcom 3.1% and Micron 4.1%; AP had AMD down 5.7%. Bank of America fell 4.76% after its results, which Trading Economics said showed trading revenue below estimates. On the other side, UnitedHealth rose 4.86%, Merck 3.85% and Walmart 3.33%.

Trading Economics gives a slightly different Dow close, 51,575 (down 95 points). I have used Xinhua's figures because they reconcile with Tuesday's close.

Treasury yields and oil both eased overnight

The US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.33% on Wednesday after the inflation data and was back at about 5.11% this morning, a three-week low, Trading Economics reported. It linked the reversal to the fall in technology shares pushing money into government bonds.

Brent crude was $104.39 a barrel at about 8:20 AM IST, down $1.67 (1.58%), and WTI was $93.97, down 1.18% after five rising sessions. Trading Economics described the move as profit-taking, while listing the supply risks still in place: a container ship sank in the Strait of Hormuz after being hit by projectiles, Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia continued, and Russia accused Ukraine of striking refineries including the 400,000 barrel-a-day Ryazan plant. It also cited reports that the US may relax sanctions on shadow-fleet tankers carrying Russian, Iranian and Venezuelan oil.

Wednesday at home: a 99.25-point fall and a 14th day of foreign selling

Market Close Change
Nifty 50 22,622.70 −99.25 pts (−0.44%)
Sensex 72,781.89 −251.89 pts (−0.34%)
Bank Nifty 55,316.00 −165.05 pts (−0.30%)
India VIX 14.63 +0.51 (+3.61%)
USD/INR 95.17 rupee up 19 paise

Index figures are from Zerodha Kite market data; the rupee close is PTI's provisional figure, against 95.36 on Tuesday. Wholesale inflation for September, published on Wednesday, was 11.39%, up from 9.92% in August. (What India VIX measures.)

Foreign institutional investors sold a net ₹1,857.40 crore in the cash market on Wednesday, according to NSE's provisional data as published by 5paisa, against ₹1,305.10 crore on Tuesday. Trading Economics counted 13 straight sessions of foreign outflows through Tuesday, which makes Wednesday the 14th. Domestic institutions bought a net ₹2,670.40 crore. (How to read FII and DII data.)

Wipro, Tech Mahindra and the Zetwerk IPO today

What I'll look at before the open

  1. Where the Kospi and Nikkei stand by 9:00 AM against their early-trade falls.
  2. GIFT Nifty against the 8:05 AM reading of 22,616.5.
  3. Brent, and any further reports from the Strait of Hormuz.

Sources

This note summarises public news and data for information only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and I don't publish levels, targets or trade ideas. I am not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser or research analyst.

Questions people ask me

What is a sidecar on the Korea Exchange?

A sidecar is a short, automatic pause on program trading, the computer-driven buy or sell orders that large investors send in baskets. The Korea Exchange triggers it when futures on the KOSPI 200 index move sharply. Ordinary orders keep trading during the pause. A sell-side sidecar is the one set off by a fall.

What is CPI inflation in the United States?

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the prices US households pay for a fixed basket of goods and services. The annual inflation rate is the change in that index from the same month a year earlier. It is published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the Federal Reserve watches it when setting interest rates.

pre-market reportniftygift niftykospius inflationnasdaqcrude oilfii diizetwerk ipowipro
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NineFifteenAM

One trader building an options bot for Indian index markets since early 2026. I write down how it is built, what broke, and what it cost — no tips, no calls, no returns.

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